2024: The “Inaugural Year” of the Humanoid Robot Industry
The year 2024 has been regarded as the “inaugural year” for the humanoid robot industry. According to incomplete statistics, China’s total production of humanoid robots surpassed 2,000 units in 2024, exceeding expectations. Most of these robots were deployed in research and education, with universities and research institutes forming the primary customer base.
The rapid development in 2024 has laid a solid foundation for 2025. Industry insiders widely believe that 2025 will mark the beginning of mass production and commercialization of humanoid robots. Several companies have announced plans to achieve mass production or release nextgeneration products in 2025.
Progress in Commercialization and Goals for 2025
Compared to the ambitious goals set for 2024, companies in the humanoid robot industry seem more cautious about making bold claims for 2025.
Based on the commercial progress of humanoid robots in 2024 and the production targets set by some companies for 2025, if these goals are achieved as planned, it is estimated that by 2025, over 30 companies worldwide will achieve commercial mass production of humanoid robots.
Price Trends and Expectations
From a pricing perspective, the cost of humanoid robots has already started to decrease in 2024.
Fullsized bipedal humanoid robots: Priced between 600,000 and 800,000 RMB (approximately $82,000–$110,000), with some companies reducing costs to below 500,000 RMB ($68,000) through mass production.
Fullsized wheeled robots: Typically priced between 300,000 and 400,000 RMB ($41,000–$55,000).
Smallsized (1–1.4 meters) bipedal robots: Priced under 200,000 RMB ($27,000), with some models even dropping below 100,000 RMB ($14,000).
This represents a significant price reduction compared to the previous millionlevel costs.
Looking ahead to 2025, with further technological advancements and expanded production scales, prices are expected to continue declining. Some companies have explicitly stated plans to lower the price of fullsized humanoid robots to under 200,000 RMB ($27,000). This price drop will undoubtedly accelerate the application of humanoid robots across more industries and sectors. However, despite the price reduction, challenges related to market demand and technological innovation remain. Whether lower prices can quickly lead to market growth still requires time for validation.
Commercialization Strategies and Production Goals
In terms of commercialization, several manufacturers have announced plans to achieve mass production or release nextgeneration humanoid robots in 2025, with comprehensive market strategies to follow.
Some companies aim to produce over 1,000 robots in 2025, targeting a broader range of vertical industries.
Most companies have set production goals of over 100 units, with plans to gradually scale up and enhance market share through product iterations.
Conclusion
Overall, 2025 is poised to be a pivotal year for the humanoid robot industry as it transitions toward maturity and largescale application. Whether these ambitious goals will be achieved remains to be seen. Let us watch with anticipation.
